✨🎇 The great AI forecasting divide

Economists expect artificial intelligence to follow historical patterns of how general purpose technologies affect society. But what if brilliant machines arrive years ahead of schedule?

My fellow pro-growth Up Wingers,

Whither the age of thinking machines — and economic acceleration? (Forgive me for using the former term rather than “artificial intelligence.” I just rewatched Dune.)

As experts of all sorts peer into their crystal balls to divine AI's impact on society, they confront a big question. Will generative AI — and its more ambitious (also theoretical) cousin, artificial general intelligence — prove revolutionary, or merely evolutionary? The answer, naturally, depends on whom one asks …